The new year always brings with it a flood of predictions and prognostications about the future. I am very skeptical of the value of these predictions; it seems they are often quite underspecified. There are also never any consequences for being wrong, thus reducing the stakes for those guessing about the future. Nevertheless, I think they can be a fun exercise because they bring important policy areas to my attention. So while I am loath to make any predictions myself, I’ve collected a few good predictions (very loosely defined) below.
Of course, feel free to add any more in the comments!